Haɗin abubuwan da suka faru yana hana kuɗin ƙare faɗuwar sa.

A baya-bayan nan, fam din ya yi kasa da dala da ba a taba ganin irinsa ba tun tsakiyar shekarun 1980, biyo bayan sanarwar da gwamnatin Burtaniya ta yi na rage harajin da ba ta kai fam biliyan 45 ba.A wani lokaci, Sterling ya sami raguwar shekaru 35 na 1.03 akan dala.

"Kudin ya fadi kusa da 10% akan tsarin ciniki a cikin kadan kasa da watanni biyu," masu sharhi kan tattalin arziki na ING sun rubuta a ranar 26 ga Satumba. "Wannan yana da yawa ga babban kudin ajiya."

Giles Coghlan, babban manazarci kan kudi a kamfanin dillali na HYCM da ke Landan, ya ce cinikin da aka yi a kwanan nan na Sterling alama ce da ke nuna cewa kasuwannin ba su yanke shawara game da girman harajin da aka sanar, da yadda suke nuna wariya da kuma hadarin da ke tattare da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.Suna zuwa ne lokacin da mafi yawan bankunan tsakiya, ciki har da Bankin Ingila, ke neman rage hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta hanyar hawan kudaden ruwa.

A ranar 28 ga Satumba, Bankin Ingila, wanda a baya ya sanar da shirin rage siyan bashi na Burtaniya, an tilasta shi shiga tsakani na wani dan lokaci a cikin kasuwar gilts tare da iyakacin lokaci don hana farashin gilts na Burtaniya da suka dade daga yin sama da fadi. sarrafawa da kuma kawar da rikicin kudi.

Mutane da yawa kuma sun yi tsammanin tashin kuɗin ruwa na gaggawa daga banki.Babban masanin tattalin arziki na babban bankin kasar, Huw Pill, ya ce zai yi nazari sosai kan yanayin tattalin arziki da na kudi kafin taronsa na gaba a farkon watan Nuwamba kafin yanke shawara kan manufofin kudi.

Amma yawan ribar tafiya ta 150 bps ba zai haifar da wani bambanci ba, a cewar Coughlan.“Lun [yana] faɗuwa saboda rashin kwarin gwiwa.Yanzu ya zama dole a yi wasa a fagen siyasa. "

George Hulene, mataimakin farfesa a fannin kudi a Makarantar Koyon Tattalin Arziki, Kudi da Accounting na Jami'ar Coventry, ya ce a yanzu gwamnatin Burtaniya na bukatar yin wani abu mai mahimmanci don tabbatar da kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi yadda za ta toshe gibin fam biliyan 45 da rage harajin da ta rage a cikin kudaden jama'a.Fira Minista Lizz Truss da Shugaban Babban Bankin Kwasi Kwarteng har yanzu ba su bayyana cikakken bayani kan yadda za su ba da kudaden rage yawan harajin da suke yi ba.

Hulene ta ce "Domin a daina siyar da kuɗin Sterling a halin yanzu, dole ne gwamnati ta nuna irin matakan da take ɗauka don kawar da ɓangarorin bangaranci na manufofin kuɗin kuɗin su da kuma yadda tattalin arzikin ba zai taɓa fuskantar raguwar harajin da ba a biya ba."

Idan wadannan bayanai ba su fito ba, to akwai yiyuwar zama wani gagarumin bugu ga fam din, wanda ya dawo da wasu daga cikin filayen da ya yi asara a cikin 'yan kwanakin da suka gabata, wanda ya kawo karshen cinikin ranar kan dala 1.1 a ranar 29 ga Satumba, in ji shi.Duk da haka, Hulene ta lura cewa matsalolin Sterling sun fara tun kafin Kwarteng ya sanar da rage haraji.

Babu Amsoshin Takaitacce

A cikin 2014, fam ɗin ya kusan kusan 1.7 akan dala.Amma nan da nan bayan sakamakon kuri'ar raba gardama na Brexit a cikin 2016, kudaden ajiyar kuɗi sun sami faɗuwar babbar faɗuwarta a cikin yini guda cikin shekaru 30, ta kai ƙasa da $1.34 a lokaci guda.

An sami ƙarin faɗuwar faɗuwa guda biyu kuma masu dorewa a cikin 2017 da 2019, waɗanda suka ga sabon faɗuwar faɗuwar faɗuwa akan Yuro da dala, a cewar ƙungiyar tattalin arzikin Burtaniya, Cibiyar Kula da Tattalin Arziƙi.

Kwanan nan, wasu dalilai - kusancin Burtaniya ga yakin Ukraine, ya ci gaba da kasancewa tare da EU game da Brexit da yarjejeniyar yarjejeniya ta Arewacin Ireland da dala mai ƙarfafawa, wanda ke samun tun lokacin da Tarayyar Tarayyar Amurka ta fara hawan ribar riba a cikin Maris - sun kasance. kuma an auna fam din inji masana.

Mafi kyawun yanayin yanayin sterling zai kasance zaman lafiya a Ukraine, ƙuduri ga yarjejeniyar Brexit ta Arewacin Ireland da EU, da faduwar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka, wanda zai iya kawo ƙarshen zagayowar ƙimar Fed, a cewar CYCM's Coghlan .

Duk da haka, mafi ƙarfi fiye da yadda aka sa ran bayanan tattalin arzikin Amurka da aka buga a ranar 29 ga Satumba, waɗanda aka buga alkalumman amfani da mutum da kashi 2% daidai da 1.5% da ake tsammani, da alama zai ba shugaban Fed na Amurka Jerome Powell uzuri kaɗan don hana ci gaban hauhawar farashin, in ji William. Marsters, babban dillalin tallace-tallace a Saxo UK.

Har ila yau yakin da ake yi a Ukraine ya kara ta'azzara bayan da Rasha ta mamaye yankunan Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson da Zaporizhia na Ukraine, kuma EU na fatan cewa matsalar kudi da Burtaniya ke fama da ita na iya kawar da 'kullun' kan yarjejeniyar Arewacin Ireland.

A halin yanzu, damuwa suna girma game da yadda rashin daidaituwa na yanzu a cikin kasuwannin Sterling da FX na iya tasiri ma'auni na CFOs.

Hatsarin da aka samu ga kamfanonin kamfanoni daga haɓakar haɓakar FX na yanzu, musamman a cikin Sterling, na iya kaiwa sama da dala biliyan 50 a tasirin tasirin da ake samu a ƙarshen kwata na uku, a cewar Wolfgang Koester, babban masanin dabarun a Kyriba, wanda ke buga kwata kwata. Rahoton Tasirin Kuɗi dangane da rahoton samun kuɗi na kamfanonin Arewacin Amurka da na Turai da aka yi ciniki a bainar jama'a.Waɗannan asara sun samo asali ne daga rashin iyawar waɗannan kamfanoni don saka idanu da sarrafa faɗuwar su ta FX daidai."Kamfanonin da ke da babban FX da aka samu suna iya ganin ƙimar kasuwancin su, ko abin da ake samu a kowane rabo, ya ragu," in ji shi.