Paʻi, Hāʻule,,Ke iho, Kiʻikuhi, Kāpae,, Honua, Pilikia,, Waiwai, Mākeke, HāʻuleʻO kahi hui o nā hanana e mālama i ke kālā mai ka hoʻopau ʻana i kona hāʻule.

I kēia mau lā, ua hāʻule ka paona i nā pae i ʻike ʻole ʻia e kūʻē i ke kālā mai ka waena o 1980s, ma hope o ka hoʻolaha ʻana o ka £ 45 biliona i nā ʻauhau ʻauhau ʻole ʻia e ke aupuni UK.I kekahi manawa, ua paʻi ka sterling i kahi haʻahaʻa 35-makahiki o 1.03 e kūʻē i ke kālā.

"Ua hāʻule ke kālā ma kahi kokoke i 10% ma ke kumu kūʻai-kaumaha i loko o kahi liʻiliʻi ma lalo o ʻelua mau mahina," kākau ʻia e nā mea loiloi waiwai ING ma Sepatemaba 26. "He nui ia no kahi kālā mālama nui."

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Giles Coghlan, ka mea loiloi kālā nui ma London-based brokerage HYCM, ʻo ke kūʻai aku ʻana i ka sterling i kēia manawa he hōʻailona ia ʻaʻole i hoʻoholo ʻia nā mākeke e pili ana i ka nui o nā hōʻemi ʻauhau i hoʻolaha ʻia, pehea lākou i ka manaʻo ʻole a me ka pilikia o ka hoʻonui ʻana.Hele mai lākou i ka wā e ʻimi nei ka hapa nui o nā panakō waena, me ka Bank of England, e hōʻemi i ka hoʻonui ʻana ma o ka piʻi ʻana i ka uku ukupanee.

Ma Sepatemaba 28, ua koi ʻia ka Bank of England, ka mea i hoʻolaha mua i nā hoʻolālā e hoʻihoʻi i kāna kūʻai ʻana i ka ʻaiʻē UK, ua koi ʻia e komo no ka manawa pōkole i ka mākeke gilts me nā kūʻai palena manawa e pale aku ai i nā kumukūʻai o nā gilts UK lōʻihi mai ka piʻi ʻana mai waho. hoʻomalu a pale i ka pilikia kālā.

Nui ka poʻe i manaʻo i ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku paneʻe mai ka panakō.Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Huw Pill, ka luna hoʻokele waiwai nui o ka panakō waena, e loiloi ʻo ia i ke kūlana macroeconomic a me ke kūlana kālā ma mua o kāna hālāwai e hiki mai ana i ka mahina mua o Nowemapa ma mua o ka hoʻoholo ʻana i ke kulekele kālā.

Akā ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku paneʻe e 150 bps ʻaʻole i hana nui i ka ʻokoʻa, e like me Coughlan.“Ua hāʻule ka paona ma muli o ka pau ʻole o ka hilinaʻi.Pono kēia e pāʻani i ke ʻano politika. "

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo George Hulene, ke kaukaʻi kōkua kālā ma Coventry University's School of Economics, Finance and Accounting, i kēia manawa pono ke aupuni UK e hana i kahi mea nui e hōʻoiaʻiʻo ai i nā mākeke kālā pehea e hoʻopili ai i ka £ 45 biliona āpau i waiho ʻia kāna ʻauhau ʻauhau i ka kālā aupuni.ʻAʻole i hōʻike ʻia ke Kuhina Nui ʻo Lizz Truss a me Chancellor o ka Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng i nā kikoʻī e pili ana i ka loaʻa kālā o kā lākou ʻauhau nui.

"No ka pau ʻana o ke kūʻai aku ʻana i kēia manawa i ka sterling, pono ke aupuni e hōʻike i nā hana a ia e kau nei e hoʻoneʻe i nā ʻano like ʻole o kā lākou kulekele kālā a pehea e hoʻopilikia ʻole ʻia ai ka hoʻokele waiwai e nā ʻauhau ʻauhau ʻole," wahi a Hulene.

Inā ʻaʻole hiki mai kēia mau kikoʻī, ʻo ia paha ka hopena nui i ka paona, ka mea i loaʻa hou i kekahi o ka ʻāina i nalowale i nā lā i hala aku nei, e hoʻopau ana i ke kālepa o ka lā ma $1.1 i ka lā 29 Kepakemapa, hoʻohui ʻo ia.Eia naʻe, ʻike ʻo Hulene ua hoʻomaka nā pilikia o sterling ma mua o ka hoʻolaha ʻana o Kwarteng i ka ʻoki ʻauhau.

ʻAʻohe pane no ka wā pōkole

I ka makahiki 2014, ua piʻi ka paona ma kahi o 1.7 kūʻē i ke kālā.Akā ma hope koke iho o ka hopena referendum Brexit ma 2016, ua ʻike ke kālā mālama i kona hāʻule nui loa i loko o hoʻokahi lā i 30 mau makahiki, a hiki i ka haʻahaʻa o $1.34 i hoʻokahi manawa.

ʻElua mau hāʻule nui a hoʻomau i ka makahiki 2017 a me 2019, ka mea i ʻike i ka paona e hoʻopaʻa i nā haʻahaʻa hou e kūʻē i ka euro a me ke kālā, e like me ka UK economics think tank, ka Economics Observatory.

ʻO nā mea hou aʻe, ʻo nā mea ʻē aʻe - kahi kokoke o UK i ke kaua ma Ukraine, hoʻomau i ka make me ka EU e pili ana iā Brexit a me ka ʻaelike ʻo Northern Ireland Protocol a me kahi kālā hoʻoikaika, e loaʻa ana mai ka wā i hoʻomaka ai ka US Federal Reserve i ka piʻi ʻana i nā kumukūʻai ma Malaki - ua loaʻa. kaumaha pu i ka paona, wahi a ka poe akamai.

ʻO ka hiʻohiʻona maikaʻi loa no ka sterling ka maluhia ma Ukraine, kahi ʻōlelo hoʻoholo i ka Brexit Northern Ireland Protocol impasse me ka EU, a me ka hāʻule ʻana o ka inflation i ka US, hiki ke kuhikuhi i ka hopena o ke kaʻina holo wāwae o ka Fed, e like me ka HYCM's Coghlan .

Eia nō naʻe, ʻoi aku ka ikaika ma mua o ka mea i manaʻo ʻia i ka ʻikepili waiwai US i paʻi ʻia ma Kepakemapa 29, ka mea i ʻike i nā helu hoʻohana pilikino i paʻi ʻia ma 2% ma mua o ka 1.5% i manaʻo ʻia, e hāʻawi paha i ka Pelekikena Fed US ʻo Jerome Powell i kahi kumu liʻiliʻi e hoʻopaʻa i ka piʻi hou aʻe, wahi a William. ʻO Marsters, he mea kālepa kūʻai nui ma Saxo UK.

ʻO ke kaua ma Ukraine ua hoʻonui pū ʻia me ka hoʻohui ʻana o Rūsia i nā ʻāina ʻo Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson a me Zaporizhia, a ke manaʻo nei ka EU e hiki i nā pilikia kālā o UK ke hāpai i ka 'deadlock' ma ka Northern Ireland Protocol.

I kēia manawa, ke ulu nei nā hopohopo e pili ana i ka hiki ʻana o ka volatility i kēia manawa i nā mākeke sterling a me FX i ka hopena o nā waihona palekana CFO.

ʻO ka hopena i ka loaʻa kālā o ka hui mai ka piʻi ʻana o ka volatility FX i kēia manawa, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka sterling, hiki ke piʻi aku ma mua o $ 50 biliona i nā hopena i ka loaʻa ma ka hopena o ke kolu o ka hapaha, e like me ka Wolfgang Koester, kahi loea koʻikoʻi ma Kyriba, nāna e hoʻopuka i kēlā me kēia hapaha. ʻO ka hōʻike pili kālā e pili ana i nā hōʻike loaʻa kālā no nā hui ʻAmelika ʻAmelika a me ʻEulopa.Loaʻa kēia mau poho mai ka hiki ʻole o kēia mau ʻoihana ke nānā a mālama pono i kā lākou hōʻike FX."E ʻike paha nā ʻoihana me kahi pānaʻi FX nui i ka waiwai o kā lākou ʻoihana, a i ʻole ka loaʻa kālā o kēlā me kēia pāhele, e iho i lalo," wahi āna.


Ka manawa hoʻouna: Oct-20-2022