Impi yaseRussia e-Ukraine iholele ekwenyukeni kwezintengo zamandla iYurophu engakwazi ukuyikhokhela.

Ngokokuqala ngqá eminyakeni engu-20, i-euro yafinyelela ukulingana nedola laseMelika, ilahlekelwa cishe ngo-12% kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka.Izinga lokushintshisana komuntu oyedwa kuya kokukodwa phakathi kwalezi zinhlobo zemali ezimbili lagcina ukubonakala ngoZibandlela wezi-2002.

Konke kwenzeka ngokushesha okukhulu.Imali yaseYurophu yayihweba cishe ku-1.15 uma iqhathaniswa nedola ngoJanuwari-ke, ukuwa kwamahhala.

Kungani?Ukuhlasela kweRussia e-Ukraine ngoFebhuwari kwaholela ekwenyukeni ngokushesha kwamanani kagesi.Lokho, kanye nokukhuphuka kwamandla emali nokwesaba ukwehla komnotho eYurophu, kwabangela ukuthengiswa kwe-euro emhlabeni wonke.

"Kube khona abashayeli abathathu abanamandla bamandla edola ngokumelene ne-euro, bonke abahlangana ngesikhathi esisodwa," kuphawula u-Alessio de Longis, umphathi omkhulu wephothifoliyo e-Invesco.“Okokuqala: Ukushaqeka kokunikezwa kwamandla okubangelwe ukungqubuzana kweRussia-Ukraine kubangele ukonakala okunengqondo kubhalansi yezohwebo kanye nebhalansi ye-akhawunti yamanje ye-eurozone.Okwesibili: Amathuba okwehla komnotho akhuphukayo aholela ekungeneni kwedola emhlabeni wonke kanye nokuqoqwa kwamadola ngabatshalizimali bakwamanye amazwe.Okwesithathu: Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-Fed inyusa amanani ngamandla kune-ECB [European Central Bank] namanye amabhange amakhulu, yingakho yenza idola likhange kakhulu.”

NgoJuni, i-Federal Reserve yamemezela ukwanda kwenani elikhulu kakhulu eminyakeni engama-28, futhi ukwanda okwengeziwe kusemakhadini.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-ECB isalele emuva ngezinqubomgomo zayo eziqinisayo.Ukwehla kwamandla emali okweminyaka engu-40 kanye nokuwohloka komnotho okuzayo akusizi.Isikhondlakhondla samabhange omhlaba iNomura Holdings silindele ukuthi i-eurozone GDP yehle ngo-1.7% kwikota yesithathu.

“Izici eziningi zishayela izinga lokushintshisana nge-euro, kodwa ubuthakathaka be-euro buqhutshwa ikakhulukazi amandla edola,” kusho uFlavio Carpenzano, umqondisi wokutshalwa kwezimali kweholo elingaguquki, iCapital Group."Ukwehlukana ekukhuleni komnotho, kanye nokuguquguquka kwenqubomgomo yezimali phakathi kwe-US ne-Europe, kungase kuqhubeke nokweseka idola uma liqhathaniswa ne-euro ezinyangeni ezizayo."

Osomaqhinga abaningi balindele izinga elingaphansi kwe-parity kulezi zinhlobo zemali ezimbili, kodwa hhayi isikhathi eside.

"Esikhathini esiseduze, kufanele kube nengcindezi eyengeziwe yokwehla ekuhwebeni kwe-euro-dollar, ukuze kube namandla okufinyelela uhla lwe-0.95 kuya ku-1.00 isikhathi esithile," kunezela u-de Longis."Kodwa-ke, njengoba izingozi zokuwohloka komnotho zenzeka e-US, ngasekupheleni konyaka, kungenzeka ukuthi i-euro iphindeke."