Ubwiyongere bw'ubukungu ku isi buragenda buhoro kandi bushobora kuvamo ihungabana rimwe.

Mu Kwakira gushize, Ikigega Mpuzamahanga cy'Imari (IMF) cyahanuye ko ubukungu bw'isi buziyongera 4.9% mu 2022. Nyuma y'imyaka hafi ibiri yaranzwe n'icyo cyorezo, cyari ikimenyetso cy'ikaze cyo gusubira buhoro buhoro mu bisanzwe.Muri raporo y’umwaka wa kabiri, IMF yibasiye bimwe mu byiringiro, yerekana ko mu gihe icyorezo cyakomeje, niko byagenze - nubwo mu turere tumwe na tumwe - ubukungu bwazamutse.

Nyuma y'amezi atandatu gusa, IMF yavuguruye ibyo ivuga: oya, yavuze ko uyu mwaka ubukungu buziyongera kugera kuri 3,6% gusa.Igabanywa-amanota 1,3 ugereranije n’uko byari byavuzwe mbere kandi ni kimwe mu binini by’ikigega kuva mu ntangiriro z'ikinyejana - byatewe ahanini n'intambara yo muri Ukraine.

Umuyobozi w’ubushakashatsi, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, yanditse ati: “Ingaruka z’ubukungu z’intambara zirakwirakwira hose - nk’imivumba y’imitingito ituruka ku mutingito w’umutingito - cyane cyane binyuze ku masoko y’ibicuruzwa, ubucuruzi ndetse n’imikoranire y’imari.” ibanziriza icapiro rya Mata rya World Economic Outlook.Ati: “Kubera ko Uburusiya butanga peteroli, gaze, ndetse n’ibyuma, hamwe na Ukraine, ingano n’ibigori, igabanuka ry’ubu kandi riteganijwe ko itangwa ry’ibicuruzwa rimaze kuzamura ibiciro byaryo cyane.Uburayi, Caucase na Aziya yo hagati, Uburasirazuba bwo hagati na Afurika y'Amajyaruguru, na Afurika yo munsi y'Ubutayu bwa Sahara byibasiwe cyane.Kwiyongera kw'ibiribwa na lisansi bizangiza ingo zinjiza amafaranga make ku isi - harimo no muri Amerika no muri Aziya. ”

Nibyo, dukesha amakimbirane ya politiki n’ubucuruzi - ubukungu bwisi bwari bumaze gukurikira inzira igabanuka mbere yintambara nicyorezo.Muri 2019, amezi make mbere yuko Covid-19 yazamura ubuzima nk'uko twari tubizi, umuyobozi mukuru wa IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, yatanze umuburo agira ati: “Mu myaka ibiri ishize, ubukungu bw'isi bwari bwifashe neza.Ugereranije na GDP, hafi 75% byisi byihuta.Uyu munsi, ndetse nubukungu bwubukungu bwisi buragenda buhinduka.Ariko ikibabaje, iki gihe gukura kiratinda.Mu buryo busobanutse neza, muri 2019 turateganya ko iterambere ryihuta hafi 90% by'isi. ”

Ihungabana ry'ubukungu ryagiye ryibasira abantu bamwe kurusha abandi ariko ubwo busumbane bwiyongereye kubera icyorezo.Ubusumbane buragenda bwiyongera haba mu bihugu byateye imbere kandi bikiri mu nzira y'amajyambere.

IMF yasuzumye imikorere y’ubukungu mu bihugu byateye imbere mu myaka mike ishize, isanga ubudasa bw’ibihugu bwiyongereye kuva mu mpera za 1980.Ibyo byuho biri kuri buri muturage GDP birahoraho, byiyongera mugihe kandi birashobora no kuba binini kuruta itandukaniro ryibihugu.

Ku bijyanye n'ubukungu mu turere dukennye, bose bagaragaza ibintu bisa nkibishyira mubibazo bikomeye mugihe ikibazo kibaye.Bakunda kuba icyaro, abatize kandi bafite ubumenyi mu nzego gakondo nk'ubuhinzi, inganda n'ubucukuzi bw'amabuye y'agaciro, mu gihe ibihugu byateye imbere usanga ari byinshi mu mijyi, byize kandi byihariye mu nzego zitanga umusaruro mwinshi nk'ikoranabuhanga mu itumanaho, imari n'itumanaho.Guhindura ihungabana ribi biratinda kandi bimaze igihe kirekire bigira ingaruka mbi kumikorere yubukungu, hiyongereyeho izindi ngaruka zitifuzwa kuva mubushomeri bukabije no kugabanuka kwimibereho myiza.Icyorezo n'ikibazo cy'ibiribwa ku isi byatewe n'intambara yo muri Ukraine ni gihamya ibigaragaza.