Ukudityaniswa kweziganeko kugcina imali ekupheliseni ukuwa kwayo.

Kutshanje, iponti yehle yaya kumanqanaba angazange abonwe xa ithelekiswa nedola ukusukela phakathi kwiminyaka yoo-1980s, kulandela isibhengezo se-45 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ekuthotyweni kwerhafu engaxhaswanga ngurhulumente wase-UK.Ngesinye isikhathi, i-sterling yabetha i-35-year low ye-1.03 ngokuchasene nedola.

NgoSeptemba 26, abahlalutyi bezoqoqosho be-ING babhala bathi: “Le mali yehle yaya kutsho kwi-10% ngokwemilinganiselo yorhwebo kwisithuba nje esingaphantsi kweenyanga ezimbini.

U-Giles Coghlan, umhlalutyi wemali oyintloko kwi-brokerage yaseLondon e-HYCM, uthi ukuthengiswa kwamva nje kwi-sterling luphawu lokuba iimarike aziqinisekanga malunga nobungakanani bokucuthwa kwerhafu ebhengeziweyo, indlela abacalucalulo ngayo kunye nomngcipheko obangelwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso.Ziza xa uninzi lweebhanki eziphambili, kubandakanya iBhanki yaseNgilani, zijonge ukunciphisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso enzala.

Nge-28 kaSeptemba, iBhanki yaseNgilani, eyayisele ibhengeze izicwangciso zokunciphisa ukuthengwa kwetyala lase-UK, yanyanzeleka ukuba ingenelele okwethutyana kwimakethi yee-gilts ngokuthenga okunexesha elilinganiselweyo ukuthintela amaxabiso eegilts zase-UK zakudala ukuba ziphume. lawula kwaye uthintele ingxaki yezemali.

Abaninzi bebelindele ukonyuka kwenzala engxamisekileyo ebhankini.Usoqoqosho oyintloko webhanki ephakathi, u-Huw Pill, uthe uza kuvavanya ngokubanzi imeko yoqoqosho olukhulu kunye neyemali phambi kwentlanganiso yakhe elandelayo ekuqaleni kukaNovemba ngaphambi kokuthatha isigqibo malunga nomgaqo-mali.

Kodwa amaxabiso enzala okunyuka nge-150 bps ngekhe yenze umahluko omkhulu, ngokutsho kukaCoughlan.“Iponti [yayiwa] ngenxa yokuphelelwa lithemba.Oku kuza kufuneka kudlale indima yezopolitiko. ”

UGeorge Hulene, unjingalwazi oncedisayo kwezemali kwiYunivesithi yaseCoventry kwiSikolo sezoQoqosho, ezeMali kunye noCwangciso-mali, uthi urhulumente wase-UK kufuneka enze into enkulu ukuqinisekisa iimarike zezimali ukuba uza kuwuvala njani umsantsa we-£45 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ezishiyekileyo. imali yoluntu.UNdunankulu uLizz Truss kunye noChancellor we-Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng abakabonakali iinkcukacha zendlela abaza kuxhasa ngayo ukucuthwa kwerhafu ebalulekileyo.

"Ukuze kupheliswe ukuthengiswa kwangoku, urhulumente kufuneka abonise ukuba zeziphi izenzo azenzayo ukuze asuse imiba yokungacaluli yomgaqo-nkqubo wabo wemali kunye nendlela uqoqosho olungayi kubethwa ngayo kukuthotywa kwerhafu okungaxhaswanga," utshilo uHulene.

Ukuba ezi nkcukacha azikho, kunokwenzeka ukuba ibe yinto enye enkulu kwiponti, ethe yaphinda yafumana enye indawo elahlekileyo kwiintsuku ezimbalwa ezidlulileyo, iphelisa ukurhweba kosuku kwi-$ 1.1 ngoSeptemba 29, uyongezelela.Nangona kunjalo, u-Hulene uphawula ukuba iingxaki ze-sterling zaqala kudala ngaphambi kokuba uKwarteng abhengeze ukuthotywa kwerhafu.

Akukho zimpendulo zexesha elifutshane

Ngo-2014, iponti yayinyuke phantse nge-1.7 ngokuchasene nedola.Kodwa ngokukhawuleza emva kwesiphumo se-referendum ye-Brexit kwi-2016, imali yogcino yafumana ukuwa kwayo okukhulu ngosuku kwi-30 iminyaka, ifikelela ngaphantsi kwe-1.34 yeedola ngexesha elinye.

Kubekho ukuwa ezibini ezithe kratya nezizinzileyo ngo-2017 nango-2019, ezibone irekhodi leponti liphantsi ngokuchasene ne-euro kunye nedola, ngokwetanki yokucinga yezoqoqosho yase-UK, i-Economics Observatory.

Kutshanje, ezinye izinto - ukusondela kwe-UK kwimfazwe yase-Ukraine, yaqhubeka i-deadlock kunye ne-EU malunga neBrexit kunye nesivumelwano seProtocol yaseNorthern Ireland kunye nedola eyomelezayo, ethe yafumana ukusukela oko i-US Federal Reserve yaqala ukunyuka inzala ngoMatshi - baye. nazo zinobunzima kwiponti, zitsho iingcali.

Eyona meko intle ye-sterling iya kuba luxolo e-Ukraine, isisombululo kwi-Brexit Northern Ireland Protocol impase kunye ne-EU, kunye nokuhla kwamandla emali e-US, okunokupela ukuphela komjikelo wokuhamba ngesantya se-Fed, ngokutsho kwe-HYCM's Coghlan. .

Nangona kunjalo, idatha yoqoqosho eyomelele kunokuba bekulindelwe e-US epapashwe nge-29 kaSeptemba, ebone amanani okusetyenziswa komntu eshicilelwe kwi-2% xa kuthelekiswa ne-1.5% elindelekileyo, kunokwenzeka ukuba anike uSihlalo we-US Fed uJerome Powell isizathu esincinci sokuzibamba ekunyukeni kwamazinga, utshilo uWilliam. UMarsters, umthengisi omkhulu wentengiso eSaxo UK.

Imfazwe yase-Ukraine iphinde yanda kunye nokufakwa kweRashiya kwingingqi yase-Ukraine yaseDonetsk, eLuhansk, eKherson naseZaporizhia, kwaye i-EU inethemba lokuba iingxaki zemali zase-UK zangoku zinokuphakamisa 'ukufa' kwiProtocol yaseNorthern Ireland.

Okwangoku, iinkxalabo ziyakhula malunga nokuba ukuguquguquka kwangoku kwiimarike ze-sterling kunye ne-FX kunokuchaphazela njani i-balance sheets ye-CFOs.

Ukubetha kwimivuzo yenkampani ukusuka ekunyukeni kwangoku kokuguquguquka kweFX, ngakumbi kwi-sterling, inokufikelela ngaphezulu kwe-50 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwimpembelelo kwingeniso ekupheleni kwekota yesithathu, ngokutsho kukaWolfgang Koester, ingcali ephezulu eKyriba, epapasha rhoqo ngekota. Ingxelo yeMpembelelo yeMali esekwe kwiingxelo zengeniso yeenkampani ezirhweba esidlangalaleni kuMntla Merika naseYurophu.Ezi lahleko zibangelwa kukungakwazi kwezi nkampani ukubeka iliso nokulawula ukuvezwa kweFX ngokuchanekileyo.“Iinkampani ezinophawu olukhulu lweFX zinokubona ixabiso leshishini labo, okanye ingeniso ngesabelo ngasinye, siyehla,” utshilo.