Kuphatikizika kwa zochitika kumalepheretsa ndalama kutha kugwa kwake.

Posachedwapa, ndalamayi yatsika kwambiri poyerekeza ndi dola kuyambira pakati pa zaka za m'ma 1980, kutsatira chilengezo cha ndalama zokwana £45 biliyoni pakuchepetsa misonkho mosalipidwa ndi boma la UK.Panthawi ina, sterling idatsika pazaka 35 za 1.03 motsutsana ndi dola.

“Ndalamayi yatsika pafupifupi 10 peresenti pamtengo wolemeredwa ndi malonda m’miyezi yocheperapo iŵiri,” openda zachuma a ING analemba pa September 26.

Giles Coghlan, katswiri wofufuza zandalama ku London-based brokerage HYCM, akuti kugulitsa kwaposachedwa mu sterling ndi chizindikiro chakuti misika sagwirizana ndi kukula kwa misonkho yomwe yalengezedwa, momwe ilili mosasamala komanso chiwopsezo chomwe chimayambitsa kukwera kwa mitengo.Amabwera pamene mabanki ambiri apakati, kuphatikizapo Bank of England, akuyang'ana kuti achepetse kukwera kwa mitengo mwa kukwera mitengo ya chiwongoladzanja.

Pa Seputembara 28, Bank of England, yomwe idalengeza kale kuti ibweza ngongole zomwe idagula ku UK, idakakamizika kulowererapo kwakanthawi pamsika wama gilts ndikugula kwanthawi yochepa kuti mitengo ya ma gilts akale aku UK achoke. kuwongolera ndi kupewa mavuto azachuma.

Ambiri amayembekezeranso kukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja kubanki.Katswiri wamkulu wazachuma kubanki yayikulu, a Huw Pill, adati awunika mozama momwe chuma chikuyendera komanso momwe ndalama zikuyendera msonkhano wawo usanachitike koyambirira kwa Novembala asanasankhe zandalama.

Koma chiwongola dzanja chokwera ndi 150 bps sichikanapanga kusiyana kwakukulu, malinga ndi Coughlan.“Mapaundi [anali] kutsika chifukwa cha kutaya chidaliro.Izi zikuyenera kuchitika mu ndale. "

George Hulene, pulofesa wothandizira pazachuma ku Coventry University's School of Economics, Finance and Accounting, akuti boma la UK tsopano likuyenera kuchitapo kanthu kuti litsimikizire misika yazachuma momwe lingathetsere kusiyana kwa ndalama zokwana £45 biliyoni zomwe misonkho yake yatsala. ndalama za boma.Prime Minister Lizz Truss ndi Chancellor wa Exchequer Kwasi Kwarteng sananenebe zambiri za momwe angathandizire kuchepetsa msonkho wawo.

"Kuti kugulitsa kwamakono ku sterling kuthe, boma liyenera kusonyeza zomwe likuchita kuti lichotse zinthu zopanda tsankho za ndondomeko yawo ya zachuma ndi momwe chuma sichidzagwedezeka chifukwa cha kuchepetsa msonkho popanda ndalama," akutero Hulene.

Ngati izi sizikubwera, ndiye kuti mwina ndi vuto linanso lalikulu pa mapaundi, omwe adapezanso malo omwe adataya m'masiku angapo apitawa, kutsiriza malonda atsikulo pa $ 1.1 pa Seputembara 29, akuwonjezera.Komabe, Hulene akuti mavuto a sterling adayamba kale Kwarteng asanalengeze kuchotsera msonkho.

Palibe Mayankho Akanthawi Yaifupi

Mu 2014, mapaundi adakwera pafupifupi 1.7 poyerekeza ndi dola.Koma mwamsanga pambuyo pa zotsatira za referendum ya Brexit mu 2016, ndalama zosungirako zidagwera kwambiri mkati mwa tsiku limodzi m'zaka 30, kufika pa $ 1.34 panthawi imodzi.

Panalinso kugwa kwina kuwiri kokulirapo komanso kosasunthika mu 2017 ndi 2019, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti mapaundi atsika kwambiri motsutsana ndi yuro ndi dola, malinga ndi bungwe loganiza zazachuma ku UK, Economics Observatory.

Posachedwapa, zinthu zina - kuyandikira kwa UK kunkhondo ku Ukraine, kupitilirabe kusagwirizana ndi EU pokhudzana ndi Brexit ndi mgwirizano wa Northern Ireland Protocol ndi dola yolimbikitsa, yomwe yakhala ikukula kuyambira US Federal Reserve idayamba kukwera mitengo ya chiwongola dzanja mu Marichi. nawonso analemera paundi, akutero akatswiri.

Chochitika chabwino kwambiri cha sterling chingakhale mtendere ku Ukraine, chigamulo cha Brexit Northern Ireland Protocol Protocol ndi EU, komanso kukwera kwa mitengo ku US, komwe kungathe kufotokozera kutha kwa kayendedwe ka Fed, malinga ndi Coghlan wa HYCM. .

Komabe, zamphamvu kuposa zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa ku US zomwe zidasindikizidwa pa Seputembara 29, zomwe zidawonetsa kuchuluka kwa anthu omwe amadya zikusindikizidwa pa 2% poyerekeza ndi 1.5% zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa, zitha kupatsa Purezidenti wa US Fed Jerome Powell chifukwa chochepera kuti aletse kukwera kwina, adatero William. Marsters, wogulitsa wamkulu ku Saxo UK.

Nkhondo ku Ukraine idakulanso ndi kulandidwa kwa Russia kumadera aku Ukraine a Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson ndi Zaporizhia, ndipo EU ikuyembekeza kuti mavuto azachuma aku UK atha kukweza 'kufa' pa Protocol ya Northern Ireland.

Pakadali pano, nkhawa zikukula za momwe kusakhazikika komwe kulipo pamsika wa sterling ndi FX kungakhudzire ma CFO's balance sheet.

Kugunda kwa phindu lamakampani chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira kwa FX, makamaka ku sterling, kutha kufikira $ 50 biliyoni pazachuma pakutha kwa gawo lachitatu, malinga ndi Wolfgang Koester, katswiri wamkulu ku Kyriba, yemwe amasindikiza kotala lililonse. Lipoti la Currency Impact Report kutengera malipoti azachuma amakampani aku North America ndi European omwe amagulitsidwa pagulu.Zotayika izi zimachokera ku kulephera kwa makampaniwa kuyang'anira ndikuwongolera kuwonekera kwawo kwa FX molondola."Makampani omwe ali ndi vuto lalikulu la FX amatha kuwona mtengo wabizinesi yawo, kapena phindu lililonse, likutsika," akutero.